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Polls: Ohio Senate race remains tight

3 min read

With only a few days left until Tuesday's election, a pair of polls show Republican J.D. Vance with a slight lead in the U.S. Senate race over Democrat Tim Ryan.

Cygnal, which frequently has polled likely Ohio voters on this race, released its latest results Friday showing Vance at 49.3 percent and Ryan at 43.1 percent. The margin of error was plus or minus 2.53 percent. Even taking the entire margin of error into account, Vance has a lead, albeit a small one.

The poll was of 1,498 likely voters questioned between Tuesday and Thursday.

For Vance, 39.4 percent said they would "definitely" vote for him with another 9.9 percent saying they'd "probably" vote for him.

Ryan's support, while smaller, was more definitive with 38.4 percent saying they'd "definitely" vote for him and 4.7 percent saying they'd "probably" vote for him.

The poll showed 7.6 percent of likely voters were undecided in this race.

Among those polled, 23.1 percent already had voted.

The poll listed 44.5 percent of those surveyed think of themselves as Republican, 32.6 percent as Democratic, 21.3 percent unaffiliated and the rest unsure.

Friday's poll also showed large leads for the incumbent Republican candidates for governor (Mike DeWine), attorney general (Dave Yost) and secretary of state (Frank LaRose).

Cygnal had released a poll of the U.S. Senate race Tuesday showing Vance ahead 48.7 percent to 44.1 percent for Ryan and another on Oct. 29 with Vance leading 48.2 to 43.7 percent. Both were within the margin of error, meaning they were statistical ties.

Cygnal wrote in Friday's poll: "If this trend continues, we might even see the Vance margin increase by virtue of picking up undecideds or soft GOP voters currently supporting Ryan."

Also, a Remington Research Group poll, released Thursday, shows Vance ahead 48 percent to 43 percent for Ryan. But the poll, by one of the more prominent Republican surveying firms, of 1,125 likely voters, polled between Tuesday and Wednesday, has a 2.8 percent plus or minus margin of error making it a statistical tie by the smallest of margins.

Of those polled, 9 percent were still undecided.

The poll shows 41 percent of those asked had a favorable opinion of Vance to 42 percent who view him unfavorably and 17 percent with no opinion.

For Ryan, he was viewed favorably by 40 percent of those polled, unfavorably by 45 percent and 15 percent didn't have an opinion.

This poll also had DeWine with a large lead in the governor's race over Democrat Nan Whaley.

Of those in the Remington poll with a political affiliation, 41 percent were Republican, 36 percent were Democratic and 23 percent said they didn't have a party affiliation.

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