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The almanac says ...

September 13, 2010 - Frank Robinson

September is a great month to live in Northeast Ohio. The weather is wonderful. With a flip of a switch, we go from summer conditions to fall and football. The days are getting noticeably shorter.
It's also the time of year when the "Old Farmer's Almanac" comes out. That's not to be confused with the "Farmer's Almanac." It's my understanding the two publications enjoy a "friendly" rivalry.
The "Old" almanac predicts a colder-than-usual winter while summer and spring will be relatively cool and dry. I'm not sure how the folks at the almanacs calculate this stuff, but the calculations provide for interesting forecasting and in this case a blog entry -- nonetheless.
For Trumbull County this winter, we are in the cold and dry category. Just above Trumbull, in the snow belt, the old almanac is predicting cold and snowy conditions for the winter. Elsewhere across the country, descriptions range from mild and wet in Texas to mild and dry farther West.
Interestingly, according to a Associated Press story last week about the release of the 2011 issue of the almanac, "the Earth will continue to see a 'gradual cooling of the atmosphere ... offset by any warming caused by increased greenhouse gases.'"
What does that mean when it comes to global warming? According o the AP story, The "Old Farmer's Almanac" also is forecasting a weak La Nina — heard that term before ? It's a "climate phenomenon marked by an unusual cooling of the sea surface in the tropical Pacific Ocean." Whatever.
Regarding the almanac's prediction, here is how I interpret it for this winter. It's going to be colder than usual in these parts with not as much snow. And with the leaves beginning to turn and farmers' markets beginning to dwindle, people are thinking about the winter. From firewood to winter home preparedness, it's that time of year. Oh, and don't forget the joy of raking all those leaves. In Howland Township where I live, there are plenty of leaves.
I'm predicting snow in October.


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Here is the Old farmer's Almanac map for this winter.


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